Right now in Scottsdale, the air is about 70°F, but the model estimates the asphalt under your dog's paws is closer to 70°F — the surface and air have nearly converged because the pavement is shedding the day's stored heat after dark. That reading puts Scottsdale in the clear for an ordinary walk. Air temperature alone would have told you none of this — the pavement, not the forecast, is what your dog actually stands on.
Across the 22 hours left today, the pavement in Scottsdale is projected to top out near 110°F around 1 PM, when the air will be about 81°F — a 29°F gap between the forecast your weather app shows and the surface your dog walks on. Today breaks into 2 separate safe stretches rather than one continuous window, so missing the first does not cost you the day.
In an average October, Scottsdale sees highs around 90°F and overnight lows near 64°F. Even at those moderate highs, a dark surface in direct sun can run 40–60°F hotter than the air, which is enough to tip midday walks into the caution range. As a seasonal rule of thumb, the safest windows are before about 11:00 AM and after about 5:00 PM.
Scottsdale loses its all-day safe window in 7 months of the year — April through October — and October is one of them. The year peaks in July at an average high of 107°F against 65°F in January, a 42°F swing that decides how much of the day belongs to your dog.
Scottsdale sits about 7 miles from Tempe, close enough that the two usually run within a degree or two of each other — if your walk crosses between them, either page answers the question. Street-level conditions still differ more than city-level ones do: a shaded side street and an open parking lot half a block apart can be twenty degrees apart underfoot.
Whatever the number says, confirm it with your hand: press the back of it flat on the pavement for seven seconds. If you can't hold it there, neither can your dog. Conditions in Scottsdale are on the gentler side right now, but keep the same habits: water before and after, grass over asphalt, and a close eye on flat-faced breeds, seniors, and puppies, who overheat and burn sooner than a healthy adult dog.