Right now in New Haven, the air is about 70°F, but the model estimates the asphalt under your dog's paws is closer to 82°F — a gap of roughly 12°F, because heavy cloud cover is taking some of the edge off the direct sun. That reading puts New Haven in the clear for an ordinary walk. Air temperature alone would have told you none of this — the pavement, not the forecast, is what your dog actually stands on.
Across the 7 hours left today, the pavement in New Haven is projected to top out near 82°F around 5 PM, when the air will be about 70°F — a 12°F gap between the forecast your weather app shows and the surface your dog walks on. The surface is already coming down, about 10°F over the next three hours, so waiting a little works in your favour here.
In an average August, New Haven sees highs around 81°F and overnight lows near 66°F. Even at those moderate highs, a dark surface in direct sun can run 40–60°F hotter than the air, which is enough to tip midday walks into the caution range. As a seasonal rule of thumb, the safest windows are before about 12:00 PM and after about 3:00 PM.
New Haven loses its all-day safe window in 3 months of the year — June through August — and August is one of them. The year peaks in July at an average high of 83°F against 40°F in January, a 43°F swing that decides how much of the day belongs to your dog.
The nearest place we track is Bridgeport, about 16 miles away. That is close enough to move together in a heat wave but far enough that a passing cloud bank or a coastal breeze can put real distance between the two readings, so check New Haven's own page rather than assuming.
Whatever the number says, confirm it with your hand: press the back of it flat on the pavement for seven seconds. If you can't hold it there, neither can your dog. Conditions in New Haven are on the gentler side right now, but keep the same habits: water before and after, grass over asphalt, and a close eye on flat-faced breeds, seniors, and puppies, who overheat and burn sooner than a healthy adult dog.